Rhode Island vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rhode Island welcome Orange County SC to Centreville Bank Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 5 July (00:30 WAT). In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, lower half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rhode Island, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Loudoun United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Orange County SC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Miami FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.9 xG, Orange County SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 59%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 18%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 2–0 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhode Island59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Orange County SC18%fair 5.60 · @4.75
2.81Expected goals
1.87Rhode Island xG
0.94Orange County SC xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.9 – 0.9 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rhode Island
Orange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-7%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+30%
Our expected goals here
1.83
0.92
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Rhode Island (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Orange County SC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Rhode Island to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Rhode Island ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Rhode Island – last 6
WWLWDL
13 Jun
@ Loudoun United
4–1
W
7 Jun
vs Westchester SC
3–0
W
31 May
@ Indy Eleven
0–1
L
24 May
vs Brooklyn
4–1
W
10 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
3 May
vs Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 6
WWDLWL
25 Jun
@ Miami FC
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ New Mexico United
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Alta
1–2
L
24 May
vs Oakland Roots
3–2
W
17 May
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 2–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs3
Phoenix Rising1
San Antonio0
Monterey Bay0
New Mexico United2
Oakland Roots1
Las Vegas Lights1
El Paso Locomotive2