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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Antonio v Monterey Bay: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Toyota Field
0–0
FT
San Antonio 51%Draw 26%Monterey Bay 23% Expected goals 1.49 – 0.91
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Antonio to win ✗51% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Antonio or draw ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

San Antonio vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: San Antonio v Monterey Bay in the USL Championship, played at Toyota Field. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Antonio, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colorado Springs, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Monterey Bay, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Paso Locomotive, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 0–0 San Antonio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.5 xG, Monterey Bay 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 51%, draw 26%, Monterey Bay 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Antonio or draw (77%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Antonio51%fair 1.98 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Monterey Bay23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.49San Antonio xG
0.91Monterey Bay xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: San Antonio 1.5 – 0.9 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

San AntonioMonterey Bay
Attack vs USL Championship average-24%-12%
Goals conceded vs average-26%+13%
Our expected goals here1.300.79

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Antonio to win ✗51%1.981.85
Double chanceSan Antonio or draw ✓77%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.75
Draw no betSan Antonio (draw no bet)68%1.46–
Asian handicapMonterey Bay +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSan Antonio to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Antonio / FT San Antonio ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

San Antonio – last 6

WLWDWW
25 Jun@ Colorado Springs2–1W
14 Jun@ Lexington0–2L
7 Jun@ FC Tulsa2–1W
28 May@ Sporting JAX4–4D
24 Mayvs Sacramento Republic2–1W
17 May@ One Knoxville1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Monterey Bay – last 6

WLWWWL
21 Junvs El Paso Locomotive1–0W
18 Jun@ FC Tulsa0–2L
11 Junvs Sporting JAX2–1W
31 Mayvs Loudoun United4–1W
24 Mayvs Birmingham Legion2–0W
17 May@ Boise3–4L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Monterey Bay v San Antonio0–0
San Antonio vs Monterey Bay head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?

On our numbers San Antonio have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monterey Bay 23%.

How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?

Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?

San Antonio vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.