San Antonio vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: San Antonio v Monterey Bay in the USL Championship, played at Toyota Field. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Antonio, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colorado Springs, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Monterey Bay, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Paso Locomotive, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 0–0 San Antonio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.5 xG, Monterey Bay 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 51%, draw 26%, Monterey Bay 23%.
Lower-risk option: San Antonio or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Antonio51%fair 1.98 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Monterey Bay23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.49San Antonio xG
0.91Monterey Bay xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.5 – 0.9 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Antonio
Monterey Bay
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.79
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monterey Bay 23%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
San Antonio vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.