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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Detroit City v Indy Eleven: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Keyworth Stadium
2–0
FT
Detroit City 54%Draw 27%Indy Eleven 19% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.76
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultDetroit City to win ✓54% · @1.77
Double chanceDetroit City or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Detroit City vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Detroit City v Indy Eleven in the USL Championship, played at Keyworth Stadium. In the table, Detroit City are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Detroit City, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fort Wayne, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Indy Eleven, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Miami FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 2–1 Detroit City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Detroit City 1.5 xG, Indy Eleven 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Detroit City 54%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Detroit City or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Detroit City 1–0 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Detroit City54%fair 1.84 · @1.77
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.40
Indy Eleven19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
2.27Expected goals
1.51Detroit City xG
0.76Indy Eleven xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Detroit City 1.5 – 0.8 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Detroit CityIndy Eleven
Attack vs USL Championship average-20%-20%
Goals conceded vs average-37%+4%
Our expected goals here1.250.61

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDetroit City to win ✓54%1.841.77
Double chanceDetroit City or draw ✓81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.77
Draw no betDetroit City (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreDetroit City to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Detroit City / FT Detroit City ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Detroit City – last 6

WWDWDL
12 Jul@ Fort Wayne2–1W
3 Jul@ Birmingham Legion2–1W
20 Junvs Louisville City0–0D
14 Jun@ Sporting JAX6–2W
11 Junvs El Paso Locomotive1–1D
30 May@ Charleston Battery0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Indy Eleven – last 6

LWDLWW
16 Jul@ Miami FC0–2L
4 Julvs Charleston Battery2–0W
21 Jun@ Lexington0–0D
14 Jun@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
7 Junvs Forward Madison2–0W
31 Mayvs Rhode Island1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Indy Eleven v Detroit City2–1
Detroit City vs Indy Eleven head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Indy Eleven?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Detroit City vs Indy Eleven?

On our numbers Detroit City have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Indy Eleven 19%.

How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Indy Eleven?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Indy Eleven?

Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–0 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Detroit City vs Indy Eleven?

Detroit City vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.