Loudoun United 19%Draw 24%Tampa Bay Rowdies 57%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.74
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗57% · @1.53
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to face Loudoun United on Sunday 19 July in the USL Championship, with Segra Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Loudoun United are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Loudoun United, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naples, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Loudoun United.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–1 Loudoun United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loudoun United 1.1 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loudoun United 19%, draw 24%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 57%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loudoun United 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loudoun United19%fair 5.14 · @5.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.10
Tampa Bay Rowdies57%fair 1.77 · @1.53
2.80Expected goals
1.06Loudoun United xG
1.74Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Loudoun United 1.1 – 1.7 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Loudoun United
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average
-4%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.49
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Loudoun United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 57%.
How many goals will there be in Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Loudoun United 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Segra Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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