San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the USL Championship brings San Antonio against Las Vegas Lights at Toyota Field. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36.
Current form
San Antonio, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chattanooga Red Wolves, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Monterey Bay, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Antonio, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Las Vegas Lights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.5 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 52%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 22%.
Lower-risk option: San Antonio or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Antonio or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Antonio52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
Las Vegas Lights22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
2.53Expected goals
1.54San Antonio xG
0.99Las Vegas Lights xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.5 – 1.0 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Antonio
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.27
0.90
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Antonio to win✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Double chance
San Antonio or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
San Antonio (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
San Antonio to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Antonio / FT San Antonio✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
San Antonio – last 6
WDWLWD
12 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Monterey Bay
0–0
D
25 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
2–1
W
14 Jun
@ Lexington
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ FC Tulsa
2–1
W
28 May
@ Sporting JAX
4–4
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WLLWLD
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
31 May
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is San Antonio or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Las Vegas Lights 22%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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