Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship, played at Centreville Bank Stadium. In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rhode Island, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brooklyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Hartford Athletic, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Westchester SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Rhode Island.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Hartford Athletic 0–0 Rhode Island. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rhode Island 1 win, Hartford Athletic 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.5 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 51%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 24%.
Lower-risk option: Rhode Island or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–0 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhode Island51%fair 1.95 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.55
Hartford Athletic24%fair 4.19 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.49Rhode Island xG
0.99Hartford Athletic xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.5 – 1.0 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rhode Island
Hartford Athletic
Attack vs USL Championship average
-7%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.36
1.02
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hartford Athletic 24%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–0 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?
Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sacramento Republic1
FC Tulsa1
El Paso Locomotive0
San Antonio1
Las Vegas Lights2
Phoenix Rising3
Monterey Bay2