Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceBirmingham Legion or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham Legion welcome Sporting JAX to Protective Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 23 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Colorado Springs, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Indy Eleven, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Birmingham Legion, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 2.2 xG, Sporting JAX 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 67%, draw 20%, Sporting JAX 13%.
Lower-risk option: Birmingham Legion or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Birmingham Legion to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 2–0 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion67%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Sporting JAX13%fair 7.81 · @4.50
3.13Expected goals
2.24Birmingham Legion xG
0.89Sporting JAX xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 2.2 – 0.9 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
67%
1.49
1.55
Double chance
Birmingham Legion or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Birmingham Legion to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Birmingham Legion ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 6
LWLWDL
16 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
30 Jul
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
3–1
W
6 Jul
@ Miami FC
1–1
D
3 Jul
vs Detroit City
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
LLLDWL
16 Aug
vs Indy Eleven
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
0–5
L
26 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
16 Jul
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Austin
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Birmingham Legion to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting JAX 13%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?
Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
Las Vegas Lights0
Monterey Bay1
Colorado Springs0
El Paso Locomotive1
San Antonio0
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa5