Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rhode Island welcome Monterey Bay to Centreville Bank Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 23 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, lower half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rhode Island, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Monterey Bay, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oakland Roots, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Monterey Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 2.1 xG, Monterey Bay 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 67%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 2–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhode Island67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
Monterey Bay12%fair 8.56 · @6.60
2.87Expected goals
2.09Rhode Island xG
0.78Monterey Bay xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 2.1 – 0.8 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Rhode Island (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Rhode Island -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Rhode Island to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Rhode Island ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Rhode Island – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Birmingham Legion
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Hartford Athletic
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Brooklyn
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Monterey Bay – last 6
DLLLLL
16 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs New Mexico United
2–5
L
6 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Lexington
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Orange County SC
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Monterey Bay.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterey Bay 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 2–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.