Detroit City v Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗40% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Detroit City v Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship, played at Keyworth Stadium. In the table, Detroit City are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61.

Current form

Detroit City, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Loudoun United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rhode Island, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Detroit City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Detroit City 1.2 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Detroit City 36%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Detroit City 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Detroit City36%fair 2.79 · @2.95

Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90

Tampa Bay Rowdies40%fair 2.53 · @2.40

2.51Expected goals

1.22Detroit City xG

1.30Tampa Bay Rowdies xG

56%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–110%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Detroit City 1.2 – 1.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗	40%	2.53	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.73
Draw no bet	Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Detroit City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗	22%	4.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.08	–

Detroit City – last 6

DWDLWW

16 Aug	vs Loudoun United	0–0	D
9 Aug	@ FC Tulsa	1–0	W
2 Aug	@ Miami FC	2–2	D
26 Jul	vs Las Vegas Lights	0–1	L
19 Jul	vs Indy Eleven	2–0	W
12 Jul	@ Fort Wayne	2–1	W

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

WDWWWD

16 Aug	vs Rhode Island	2–0	W
13 Aug	vs Louisville City	0–0	D
9 Aug	@ Orange County SC	3–0	W
2 Aug	vs Louisville City	5–4	W
26 Jul	@ Miami FC	3–2	W
19 Jul	@ Loudoun United	1–1	D

2.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	-46	14

Team

Pts

+26

+21

+13

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

-10

-6

-10

-6

-29

-46

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Detroit City have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%.

How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Detroit City v Tampa Bay Rowdies: numbers & prediction