Indy Eleven 30%Draw 21%Louisville City 49%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.69
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the USL Championship brings Indy Eleven against Louisville City at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting JAX, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Louisville City, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Orange County SC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Indy Eleven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.3 xG, Louisville City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 30%, draw 21%, Louisville City 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven30%fair 3.31 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.55
Louisville City49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
2.95Expected goals
1.26Indy Eleven xG
1.69Louisville City xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.3 – 1.7 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
49%
2.04
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
WDLLLL
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Detroit City
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Miami FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
WDDLWW
16 Aug
@ Orange County SC
3–2
W
13 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–5
L
30 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Trinidad and Tobago
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Louisville City 49%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
Las Vegas Lights0
Monterey Bay1
Colorado Springs0
El Paso Locomotive1
San Antonio0
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa5