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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colorado Springs v New Mexico United: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Weidner Field
Colorado Springs 62%Draw 21%New Mexico United 17% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.97
83%
Betarazi pick

Colorado Springs or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Colorado Springs to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultColorado Springs to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceColorado Springs or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the USL Championship brings Colorado Springs against New Mexico United at Weidner Field. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Colorado Springs are 5th, upper half, on 47 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52.

Current form

Colorado Springs, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Antonio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

New Mexico United, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Birmingham Legion, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended New Mexico United 1–0 Colorado Springs. The last 2 head-to-heads: Colorado Springs 1 win, New Mexico United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colorado Springs 2.0 xG, New Mexico United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colorado Springs 62%, draw 21%, New Mexico United 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Colorado Springs or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Colorado Springs to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Colorado Springs or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colorado Springs 2–0 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colorado Springs62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
New Mexico United17%fair 5.81 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
2.03Colorado Springs xG
0.97New Mexico United xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Colorado Springs 2.0 – 1.0 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColorado Springs to win ✗62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceColorado Springs or draw ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betColorado Springs (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapColorado Springs -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreColorado Springs to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultColorado Springs ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colorado Springs / FT Colorado Springs ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Colorado Springs – last 6

WLWWLL
12 Sepvs San Antonio2–1W
9 Sep@ Hartford Athletic1–2L
5 Sep@ Loudoun United5–4W
30 Aug@ Lexington1–0W
23 Augvs El Paso Locomotive0–1L
20 Aug@ Phoenix Rising1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

New Mexico United – last 6

DDWLWD
17 Sep@ Birmingham Legion4–4D
12 Sepvs Indy Eleven2–2D
6 Sep@ Las Vegas Lights2–1W
30 Augvs San Antonio1–2L
27 Augvs Lexington2–1W
22 Aug@ Loudoun United0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026New Mexico United v Colorado Springs1–0
17 May 2026Colorado Springs v New Mexico United4–0
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our pick is Colorado Springs or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

On our numbers Colorado Springs have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New Mexico United 17%.

How many goals will there be in Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our predicted score is Colorado Springs 2–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Weidner Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.