Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the USL Championship brings Phoenix Rising against El Paso Locomotive at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
Phoenix Rising, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Tulsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Louisville City, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Phoenix Rising.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.5 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 41%, draw 22%, El Paso Locomotive 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: El Paso Locomotive to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phoenix Rising41%fair 2.42 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
El Paso Locomotive37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.85Expected goals
1.47Phoenix Rising xG
1.38El Paso Locomotive xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.5 – 1.4 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Paso Locomotive 37%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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