Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%Draw 19%Birmingham Legion 17%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.87
64%
Betarazi pick
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the USL Championship brings Tampa Bay Rowdies against Birmingham Legion at Al Lang Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hartford Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Birmingham Legion, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with New Mexico United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Birmingham Legion.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Birmingham Legion 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 xG, Birmingham Legion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%, draw 19%, Birmingham Legion 17%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (64%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies64%fair 1.56 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.80
Birmingham Legion17%fair 6.00 · @6.50
2.85Expected goals
1.98Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.87Birmingham Legion xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 – 0.9 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Birmingham Legion 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tulsa2
Monterey Bay0
Lexington6
Orange County SC0
Colorado Springs0
New Mexico United0
Phoenix Rising1
El Paso Locomotive3