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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Louisville City v Loudoun United: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family Stadium
2–1
FT
Louisville City 69%Draw 18%Loudoun United 13% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.84
69%
Betarazi pick

Louisville City to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✓69% · @1.36
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30

Louisville City vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Loudoun United travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 20 September in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Louisville City, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Loudoun United, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Loudoun United.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Loudoun United 3–3 Louisville City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 2.2 xG, Loudoun United 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 69%, draw 18%, Loudoun United 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Louisville City to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 2–0 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louisville City69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @4.60
Loudoun United13%fair 7.52 · @6.00
3.06Expected goals
2.22Louisville City xG
0.84Loudoun United xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Louisville City 2.2 – 0.8 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓69%1.451.36
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.57
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapLouisville City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.30–

Recent results

Louisville City – last 6

LDDDLW
13 Sepvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
9 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
6 Sep@ Rhode Island1–1D
30 Augvs Detroit City0–0D
23 Aug@ Indy Eleven1–2L
16 Aug@ Orange County SC3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Loudoun United – last 6

LLLDDL
13 Sep@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
5 Sepvs Colorado Springs4–5L
30 Aug@ El Paso Locomotive1–4L
22 Augvs New Mexico United0–0D
16 Aug@ Detroit City0–0D
9 Augvs Charleston Battery0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Loudoun United v Louisville City3–3
Louisville City vs Loudoun United head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

On our numbers Louisville City have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Loudoun United 13%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Louisville City vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.