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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rhode Island v Miami FC: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Centreville Bank Stadium
1–2
FT
Rhode Island 64%Draw 23%Miami FC 13% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.81
64%
Betarazi pick

Rhode Island to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✗64% · @1.36
Double chanceRhode Island or draw ✗87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Rhode Island vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Rhode Island v Miami FC in the USL Championship, played at Centreville Bank Stadium. In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36.

Current form

Rhode Island, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sporting JAX, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Miami FC, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Miami FC.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Miami FC 2–1 Rhode Island.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 2.0 xG, Miami FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 64%, draw 23%, Miami FC 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rhode Island to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rhode Island64%fair 1.57 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.33
Miami FC13%fair 7.50 · @6.50
2.78Expected goals
1.97Rhode Island xG
0.81Miami FC xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Rhode Island 2.0 – 0.8 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✗64%1.571.36
Double chanceRhode Island or draw ✗87%1.151.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapRhode Island -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultRhode Island ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Rhode Island – last 6

WDLWLW
13 Sep@ Sporting JAX3–0W
6 Sepvs Louisville City1–1D
30 Aug@ FC Tulsa0–1L
23 Augvs Monterey Bay3–1W
16 Aug@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–2L
9 Augvs Colorado Springs2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

DDLLLL
13 Sep@ Brooklyn1–1D
6 Sepvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–2D
25 Aug@ Charleston Battery0–5L
16 Aug@ Hartford Athletic1–2L
13 Aug@ San Antonio1–2L
9 Augvs Las Vegas Lights0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Miami FC v Rhode Island2–1
Rhode Island vs Miami FC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Our pick is Rhode Island to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

On our numbers Rhode Island have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Miami FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Rhode Island vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.