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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Las Vegas Lights v Hartford Athletic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Cashman Field
Las Vegas Lights 38%Draw 22%Hartford Athletic 40% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.22
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.56

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hartford Athletic travel to face Las Vegas Lights on Sunday 20 September in the USL Championship, with Cashman Field the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Orange County SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Hartford Athletic, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting JAX, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.2 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 38%, draw 22%, Hartford Athletic 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Hartford Athletic to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Las Vegas Lights38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Hartford Athletic40%fair 2.48 · @3.00
2.38Expected goals
1.16Las Vegas Lights xG
1.22Hartford Athletic xG
60%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.2 – 1.2 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartford Athletic to win ✗40%2.483.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betHartford Athletic (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapLas Vegas Lights +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreHartford Athletic to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.56–

Recent results

Las Vegas Lights – last 6

WLLLWW
13 Sep@ Orange County SC2–0W
6 Sepvs New Mexico United1–2L
30 Augvs Charleston Battery0–2L
23 Aug@ Lexington0–2L
16 Augvs Brooklyn2–1W
9 Aug@ Miami FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WWWDWW
16 Sepvs Sporting JAX2–0W
13 Sepvs Tampa Bay Rowdies3–1W
9 Sepvs Colorado Springs2–1W
6 Sep@ Detroit City1–1D
3 Sep@ Charleston Battery2–1W
30 Augvs Birmingham Legion3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic.

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hartford Athletic 40%.

How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.