Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Indy Eleven v Oakland Roots in the USL Championship, played at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Oakland Roots are 10th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Brooklyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Oakland Roots, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lexington, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Indy Eleven, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Oakland Roots.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.7 xG, Oakland Roots 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 56%, draw 23%, Oakland Roots 21%.
Lower-risk option: Indy Eleven or draw (79%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Indy Eleven to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Indy Eleven or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–0 Oakland Roots. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Oakland Roots21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.71Indy Eleven xG
0.93Oakland Roots xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.7 – 0.9 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Oakland Roots +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Indy Eleven to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
WDDLWW
16 Sep
vs Brooklyn
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oakland Roots – last 6
LDWDLD
13 Sep
vs Lexington
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Las Vegas Lights
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Indy Eleven or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oakland Roots 21%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–0 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tulsa2
Monterey Bay0
Lexington6
Orange County SC0
Colorado Springs0
New Mexico United0