FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗39% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.33

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Tulsa welcome Sacramento Republic to ONEOK Field for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 4 October (01:00 WAT). In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51.

Current form

FC Tulsa, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over New Mexico United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sacramento Republic, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FC Tulsa.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 1–0 Sacramento Republic. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Tulsa 1 win, Sacramento Republic 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.1 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 38%, draw 23%, Sacramento Republic 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tulsa38%fair 2.66 · @2.70

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00

Sacramento Republic39%fair 2.56 · @2.45

2.21Expected goals

1.09FC Tulsa xG

1.12Sacramento Republic xG

53%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–012%

0–011%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.1 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sacramento Republic to win ✗	39%	2.56	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.31	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.87	1.95
Draw no bet	Sacramento Republic (draw no bet)	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	FC Tulsa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Sacramento Republic to score first ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗	20%	4.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	13.33	–

FC Tulsa – last 6

WDDLDW

1 Oct	vs New Mexico United	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ El Paso Locomotive	1–1	D
20 Sep	@ Brooklyn	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Phoenix Rising	1–2	L
6 Sep	@ San Antonio	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Rhode Island	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWDWDD

1 Oct	vs Las Vegas Lights	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ New Mexico United	3–2	W
21 Sep	vs San Antonio	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Detroit City	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Orange County SC	1–1	D
30 Aug	@ Monterey Bay	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	15	7	8	+11	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	13	12	5	+14	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	15	5	10	+10	50
4	Lexington	30	14	6	10	+18	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	13	8	9	+6	47
6	San Antonio	30	11	12	7	+2	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	11	10	9	+3	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	10	10	10	-1	40
9	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	-10	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	9	11	10	-1	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	10	6	14	-7	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	6	6	18	-20	24

Team

Pts

+11

+14

+10

+18

-1

-10

-1

-7

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sacramento Republic 39%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

FC Tulsa

Sacramento Republic

Both teams to score

Picks by market

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

FC Tulsa – last 6

Sacramento Republic – last 6

Head to head

USL Championship table

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

6 Aug 2026	FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic	1–0
8 Mar 2026	Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa	2–0