Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✗89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tampa Bay Rowdies welcome Miami FC to Al Lang Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 4 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Miami FC, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sporting JAX, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Miami FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Miami FC 2–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 wins, Miami FC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 xG, Miami FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 71%, draw 17%, Miami FC 11%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.80
Miami FC11%fair 8.83 · @7.00
2.79Expected goals
2.11Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.68Miami FC xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 – 0.7 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Miami FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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