Orange County SC 61%Draw 16%Monterey Bay 23%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.99
61%
Betarazi pick
Orange County SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultOrange County SC to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orange County SC welcome Monterey Bay to Championship Soccer Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 4 October (03:00 WAT). In the table, Orange County SC are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orange County SC, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Monterey Bay, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lexington, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 1–2 Orange County SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orange County SC 1.9 xG, Monterey Bay 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orange County SC 61%, draw 16%, Monterey Bay 23%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orange County SC to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orange County SC 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orange County SC61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @3.60
Monterey Bay23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
2.85Expected goals
1.86Orange County SC xG
0.99Monterey Bay xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.9 – 1.0 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Orange County SC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Monterey Bay 23%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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