Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Paso Locomotive travel to face Lexington on Sunday 4 October in the USL Championship, with Toyota Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lexington, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Monterey Bay, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tulsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Lexington.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended El Paso Locomotive 1–4 Lexington.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 1.9 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 61%, draw 15%, El Paso Locomotive 25%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lexington to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 2–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.88 · @3.60
El Paso Locomotive25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
2.98Expected goals
1.91Lexington xG
1.07El Paso Locomotive xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.9 – 1.1 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Lexington to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Lexington have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and El Paso Locomotive 25%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Lexington 2–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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