New Mexico United 41%Draw 20%Phoenix Rising 39%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.36
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.90
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship, played at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Tulsa, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Oakland Roots, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended New Mexico United 4–0 Phoenix Rising. The last 2 head-to-heads: New Mexico United 1 win, Phoenix Rising 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.4 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 41%, draw 20%, Phoenix Rising 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Phoenix Rising39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.39New Mexico United xG
1.36Phoenix Rising xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.4 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Phoenix Rising 39%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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