Miami FC 60%Draw 24%Loudoun United 15%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.94
85%
Betarazi pick
Miami FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceMiami FC or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Miami FC vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Loudoun United travel to face Miami FC on Sunday 11 October in the USL Championship, with Riccardo Silva Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Loudoun United, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Indy Eleven, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Miami FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Loudoun United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 2.0 xG, Loudoun United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 60%, draw 24%, Loudoun United 15%.
Lower-risk option: Miami FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Miami FC or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 2–0 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Loudoun United15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
2.94Expected goals
2.00Miami FC xG
0.94Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Miami FC 2.0 – 0.9 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✗
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Miami FC or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Miami FC (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Miami FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Miami FC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Miami FC – last 6
WWWWDD
4 Oct
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Sporting JAX
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Indy Eleven
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Rhode Island
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Brooklyn
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DWLLLL
3 Oct
vs Indy Eleven
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Sporting JAX
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Colorado Springs
4–5
L
30 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Miami FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loudoun United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Loudoun United?
Miami FC vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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