Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Phoenix Rising v Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship, played at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36.
Current form
Phoenix Rising, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New Mexico United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Antonio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.9 xG, Las Vegas Lights 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 64%, draw 16%, Las Vegas Lights 20%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Phoenix Rising to win (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phoenix Rising64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @3.75
Las Vegas Lights20%fair 4.97 · @3.40
2.76Expected goals
1.88Phoenix Rising xG
0.88Las Vegas Lights xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.9 – 0.9 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Phoenix Rising to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Las Vegas Lights 20%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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