Sacramento Republic v Colorado Springs: numbers & prediction

Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Sacramento Republic v Colorado Springs in the USL Championship, played at Heart Health Park. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Colorado Springs are 5th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Sacramento Republic, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tulsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Colorado Springs, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oakland Roots, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Colorado Springs.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Colorado Springs 0–1 Sacramento Republic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.8 xG, Colorado Springs 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 60%, draw 24%, Colorado Springs 17%.
• Lower-risk option: Sacramento Republic or draw (83%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
• Price worth noting: Sacramento Republic to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sacramento Republic or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 1–0 Colorado Springs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.