New Mexico United 64%Draw 23%Monterey Bay 13%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.79
87%
Betarazi pick
New Mexico United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceNew Mexico United or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Mexico United welcome Monterey Bay to Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 11 October (02:00 WAT). In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Phoenix Rising, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Monterey Bay, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orange County SC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 2.0 xG, Monterey Bay 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 64%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 13%.
Lower-risk option: New Mexico United or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was New Mexico United or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.00
Monterey Bay13%fair 7.70 · @4.20
2.76Expected goals
1.97New Mexico United xG
0.79Monterey Bay xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 2.0 – 0.8 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is New Mexico United or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monterey Bay 13%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?
New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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