Almirante Brown v Central Norte Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win42% · @2.15

Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw75% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.42

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.83

Almirante Brown vs Central Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Central Norte travel to face Almirante Brown on Sunday 19 April in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Central Norte are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores De Belgrano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Central Norte, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia Y Tiro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.0 xG, Central Norte 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 42%, draw 33%, Central Norte 25%.
Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 0–0 Central Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown42%fair 2.39 · @2.15

Draw33%fair 3.05 · @2.60

Central Norte25%fair 3.94 · @3.95

1.54Expected goals

0.96Almirante Brown xG

0.57Central Norte xG

45%Both score

24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%

1–021%

0–112%

1–112%

2–010%

2–16%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.0 – 0.6 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Almirante Brown	Central Norte
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	-1%	-29%
Goals conceded vs average	-13%	-17%
Our expected goals here	1.01	0.48

Almirante Brown

Central Norte

Attack vs Primera Nacional average

-1%

-29%

Goals conceded vs average

-13%

-17%

Our expected goals here

1.01

0.48

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almirante Brown to win	42%	2.39	2.15
Double chance	Almirante Brown or draw	75%	1.34	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	55%	1.83	1.42
Draw no bet	Almirante Brown (draw no bet)	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Central Norte +1 (Asian handicap)	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.95
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	76%	1.31	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	93%	1.08	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	98%	1.02	–
First team to score	Almirante Brown to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	56%	1.77	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw	28%	3.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	21%	4.83	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Almirante Brown to win

42%

2.39

2.15

Double chance

Almirante Brown or draw

75%

1.34

1.17

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score

55%

1.83

1.42

Draw no bet

Almirante Brown (draw no bet)

62%

1.61

–

Asian handicap

Central Norte +1 (Asian handicap)

77%

1.30

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Under 1.5 goals

51%

1.96

1.95

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

76%

1.31

1.28

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

93%

1.08

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

98%

1.02

–

First team to score

Almirante Brown to score first

49%

2.03

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

56%

1.77

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Draw / FT Draw

28%

3.55

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0

21%

4.83

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Central Norte 25%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?

Almirante Brown vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

5 Apr	vs Defensores De Belgrano	0–2	L
14 Mar	@ Racing Cordoba	1–2	L
2 Mar	@ CA Estudiantes	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs All Boys	2–1	W
15 Feb	@ Los Andes	0–0	D

29 Mar	@ Gimnasia Y Tiro	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs Colon Santa Fe	0–0	D
13 Feb	@ San Miguel	0–1	L

Almirante Brown v Central Norte: numbers & prediction

Almirante Brown

Central Norte

Under 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Almirante Brown vs Central Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Almirante Brown – last 5

Central Norte – last 3

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

More Primera Nacional predictions

Frequently asked questions