Ciudad de Bolívar 33%Draw 32%Deportivo Madryn 35%Expected goals 0.85 – 0.99
52%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.50
3/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win35% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win68% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.34
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Ciudad de Bolívar v Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron. In the table, Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60.
Current form
Ciudad de Bolívar, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportivo Madryn, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin Tucuman, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Bolívar 0.8 xG, Deportivo Madryn 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Bolívar 33%, draw 32%, Deportivo Madryn 35%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciudad de Bolívar33%fair 3.01 · @2.50
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.50
Deportivo Madryn35%fair 2.88 · @3.40
1.83Expected goals
0.85Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.99Deportivo Madryn xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 0.8 – 1.0 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ciudad de Bolívar
Deportivo Madryn
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-18%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.83
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win
35%
2.88
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
68%
1.47
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.50
Draw no bet
Deportivo Madryn (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Ciudad de Bolívar +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Deportivo Madryn to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.34
–
Recent results
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 4
DDLD
27 Mar
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Los Andes
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ River Plate
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Bolívar and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Madryn 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.