Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Maipu travel to face Patronato on Sunday 19 April in the Primera Nacional – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Patronato, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Maipu, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Godoy Cruz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Maipu, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Patronato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 1.0 xG, Deportivo Maipu 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 37%, draw 32%, Deportivo Maipu 31%.
Lower-risk option: Patronato or draw (69%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Patronato or draw (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patronato37%fair 2.70 · @2.40
Draw32%fair 3.10 · @2.70
Deportivo Maipu31%fair 3.25 · @3.25
1.90Expected goals
1.00Patronato xG
0.90Deportivo Maipu xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-15%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.86
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patronato to win✗
37%
2.70
2.40
Double chance
Patronato or draw✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.57
Draw no bet
Patronato (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Maipu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Patronato to score first✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Recent results
Patronato – last 5
LLDLD
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 3
LLW
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Patronato or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Patronato have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Maipu 31%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?
Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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