Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓77% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Primera Nacional brings San Martin Tucuman against Tristan Suarez at Estadio La Ciudadela. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Madryn, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tristan Suarez, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico DE Rafaela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tristan Suarez, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for San Martin Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 0.9 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 44%, draw 33%, Tristan Suarez 23%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman44%fair 2.29 · @1.85
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.85
Tristan Suarez23%fair 4.32 · @4.80
1.64Expected goals
0.88San Martin Tucuman xG
0.76Tristan Suarez xG
44%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 0.9 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+14%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.58
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
44%
2.29
1.85
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.48
Draw no bet
San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Tristan Suarez +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
San Martin Tucuman to score first✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Recent results
San Martin Tucuman – last 3
DDD
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 4
DLWW
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Tristan Suarez 23%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez?
San Martin Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Deportivo Madryn0
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
Central Norte