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Atletico Mitre v Ferro Carril Oeste: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Aurinegro
Sun 19 Apr 2026
Atletico Mitre 36%Draw 33%Ferro Carril Oeste 31% Expected goals 0.96 – 0.85
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Mitre to win36% · @2.40
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw69% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.34

Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Primera Nacional brings Atletico Mitre against Ferro Carril Oeste at Estadio Aurinegro. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 1.0 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 36%, draw 33%, Ferro Carril Oeste 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico Mitre or draw (69%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Mitre36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Ferro Carril Oeste31%fair 3.22 · @3.40
1.80Expected goals
0.96Atletico Mitre xG
0.85Ferro Carril Oeste xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.0 – 0.8 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico MitreFerro Carril Oeste
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-19%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+13%-5%
Our expected goals here0.950.82

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Mitre to win36%2.752.40
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw69%1.451.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.861.45
Draw no betAtletico Mitre (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapFerro Carril Oeste +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals53%1.881.77
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals73%1.381.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals96%1.04–
First team to scoreAtletico Mitre to score first44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.34–

Recent results

Atletico Mitre – last 2

DW
29 Mar@ Club Atlético Güemes2–2D
23 Febvs CA Estudiantes1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2

LD
21 Marvs Los Andes0–2L
1 Mar@ Colon Santa Fe1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and Ferro Carril Oeste.

Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Ferro Carril Oeste 31%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.