Value bet: Acassuso to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAcassuso to win ✓37% · @2.90
Double chanceAcassuso or draw ✓70% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.39
Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensores De Belgrano travel to face Acassuso on Sunday 24 May in the Primera Nacional, with La Quema Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Acassuso are 17th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 36 matches; Defensores De Belgrano are 15th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Acassuso, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gimnasia L.P., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chaco For Ever, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Acassuso 1.0 xG, Defensores De Belgrano 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Acassuso 37%, draw 33%, Defensores De Belgrano 30%.
Lower-risk option: Acassuso or draw (70%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Acassuso to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Acassuso 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Acassuso37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
Draw33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
Defensores De Belgrano30%fair 3.30 · @2.62
1.68Expected goals
0.99Acassuso xG
0.68Defensores De Belgrano xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–019%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Acassuso 1.0 – 0.7 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-25%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+5%
Our expected goals here
0.97
0.47
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win✓
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Acassuso or draw✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.55
Draw no bet
Acassuso (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Defensores De Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Acassuso to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.39
–
Recent results
Acassuso – last 4
LLWL
22 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–3
L
9 Apr
@ Midland
0–1
L
30 Mar
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Defensores De Belgrano – last 6
DLLWDD
18 May
vs Chaco For Ever
0–0
D
11 May
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Racing Cordoba
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Almirante Brown
2–0
W
30 Mar
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and Defensores De Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Defensores De Belgrano 30%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Acassuso 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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