Club Atlético Güemes 35%Draw 30%Patronato 35%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.03
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub Atlético Güemes to win ✓35% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.79
Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Club Atlético Güemes v Patronato in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. In the table, Club Atlético Güemes are 18th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnasia Y Tiro, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Patronato, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 xG, Patronato 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Atlético Güemes 35%, draw 30%, Patronato 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Atlético Güemes35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Patronato35%fair 2.89 · @2.95
2.03Expected goals
1.00Club Atlético Güemes xG
1.03Patronato xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–114%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.0 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-23%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+58%
+0%
Our expected goals here
0.94
1.05
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Atlético Güemes to win✓
35%
2.83
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Club Atlético Güemes (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Club Atlético Güemes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Patronato to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.79
–
Recent results
Club Atlético Güemes – last 5
DWDLL
20 Apr
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Mitre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Patronato – last 6
WDLLDL
17 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Atlético Güemes and Patronato.
What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato?
On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Patronato 35%.
How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato?
Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Acassuso1
Defensores De Belgrano0
Deportivo Moron2
CA Estudiantes0
Chaco For Ever1
Deportivo Madryn2
Ferro Carril Oeste1
Central Norte0
Godoy Cruz4
All Boys0
Colon Santa Fe1
Atletico Mitre1