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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chacarita Juniors v Almagro: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
1–0
FT

Almagro

LWDLD
Chacarita Juniors 55%Draw 28%Almagro 17% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.69
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✓55% · @1.73
Double chanceChacarita Juniors or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.70

Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Chacarita Juniors v Almagro in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors. In the table, Chacarita Juniors are 14th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Patronato, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Almagro, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martin S.J., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chacarita Juniors 1.4 xG, Almagro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chacarita Juniors 55%, draw 28%, Almagro 17%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chacarita Juniors55%fair 1.81 · @1.73
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
Almagro17%fair 5.84 · @5.25
2.04Expected goals
1.35Chacarita Juniors xG
0.69Almagro xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–013%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 1.4 – 0.7 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-14%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+23%
Our expected goals here1.290.75

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChacarita Juniors to win ✓55%1.811.73
Double chanceChacarita Juniors or draw ✓83%1.211.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.50
Draw no betChacarita Juniors (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapAlmagro +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.651.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreChacarita Juniors to score first ✓58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chacarita Juniors / FT Chacarita Juniors ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.70–

Recent results

Chacarita Juniors – last 6

LDLLLW
17 May@ Patronato0–2L
5 May@ Quilmes0–0D
21 Apr@ Atlanta0–1L
29 Marvs CA Estudiantes0–3L
15 Mar@ Agropecuario0–2L
22 Febvs Gimnasia Jujuy3–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 5

LWDLD
17 Mayvs San Martin S.J.1–2L
11 May@ Nueva Chicago2–1W
15 Mar@ Midland1–1D
28 Feb@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2L
14 Feb@ Atletico DE Rafaela0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chacarita Juniors and Almagro.

Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro?

On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almagro 17%.

How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro?

Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.