Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CA Estudiantes travel to face Deportivo Moron on Sunday 24 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; CA Estudiantes are 8th (upper half) with 49. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Moron, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to All Boys, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
CA Estudiantes, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Moron, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for CA Estudiantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.5 xG, CA Estudiantes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 52%, draw 27%, CA Estudiantes 21%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Moron or draw (79%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–1 CA Estudiantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Moron52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.70
CA Estudiantes21%fair 4.81 · @4.50
2.27Expected goals
1.45Deportivo Moron xG
0.82CA Estudiantes xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.5 – 0.8 CA Estudiantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+29%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.99
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
CA Estudiantes +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Deportivo Moron to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Deportivo Moron – last 4
LLWW
19 May
@ All Boys
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Midland
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs San Telmo
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
CA Estudiantes – last 3
WLL
29 Mar
@ Chacarita Juniors
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Atletico Mitre
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and CA Estudiantes.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CA Estudiantes 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–1 CA Estudiantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes?
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chacarita Juniors1
Almagro0
Agropecuario0
Quilmes0
Club Atlético Güemes1
Patronato0