Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.68
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferro Carril Oeste welcome Central Norte to Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 24 May (20:00 WAT). In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Central Norte are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Madryn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Central Norte, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Racing Cordoba, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 xG, Central Norte 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 56%, draw 30%, Central Norte 13%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Central Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro Carril Oeste56%fair 1.78 · @1.53
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @3.20
Central Norte13%fair 7.51 · @7.50
1.73Expected goals
1.20Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.53Central Norte xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–018%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 – 0.5 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-7%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-17%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.53
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✓
56%
1.78
1.53
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.38
Draw no bet
Ferro Carril Oeste (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Central Norte +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Ferro Carril Oeste to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.68
–
Recent results
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 5
WWLLD
17 May
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–0
W
11 May
vs Defensores De Belgrano
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Central Norte – last 4
WWDL
16 May
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ San Miguel
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Central Norte.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Central Norte 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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