San Martin Tucuman 50%Draw 29%Atlanta 21%Expected goals 1.28 – 0.79
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗50% · @1.90
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✗79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta travel to face San Martin Tucuman on Sunday 24 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio La Ciudadela the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gimnasia Y Tiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Atlanta, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.3 xG, Atlanta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 50%, draw 29%, Atlanta 21%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman50%fair 2.00 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Atlanta21%fair 4.66 · @4.60
2.07Expected goals
1.28San Martin Tucuman xG
0.79Atlanta xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.3 – 0.8 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+14%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.94
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.45
Draw no bet
San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Atlanta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
San Martin Tucuman to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Recent results
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
LWWDDD
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWD
21 Apr
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Atlanta.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atlanta 21%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Acassuso1
Defensores De Belgrano0
Deportivo Moron2
CA Estudiantes0
Chaco For Ever1
Deportivo Madryn2
Ferro Carril Oeste1
Central Norte0
Godoy Cruz4
All Boys0
Colon Santa Fe1
Atletico Mitre1