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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quilmes v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes

DLDWW
2–0
FT
Quilmes 44%Draw 31%Atletico DE Rafaela 25% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.64
75%
Betarazi pick

Quilmes or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuilmes to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17

Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela travel to face Quilmes on Sunday 31 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Quilmes, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martin Tucuman, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico DE Rafaela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.1 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 44%, draw 31%, Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Quilmes or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quilmes44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.70
Atletico DE Rafaela25%fair 4.02 · @3.75
1.73Expected goals
1.10Quilmes xG
0.64Atletico DE Rafaela xG
49%Both score
25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–018%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%

From our goals model: Quilmes 1.1 – 0.6 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-12%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-16%+13%
Our expected goals here1.220.59

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuilmes to win ✓44%2.252.20
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.57
Draw no betQuilmes (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapAtletico DE Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreQuilmes to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quilmes / FT Quilmes ✓26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.17–

Recent results

Quilmes – last 6

DLDWWD
24 May@ Agropecuario0–0D
17 Mayvs Tristan Suarez0–1L
5 Mayvs Chacarita Juniors0–0D
29 Mar@ San Telmo3–0W
15 Marvs Patronato3–0W
22 Febvs Midland0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

LWDLDL
3 May@ San Martin Tucuman1–2L
21 Aprvs Agropecuario4–1W
14 Apr@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
6 Aprvs Club Atlético Güemes1–2L
30 Mar@ Defensores De Belgrano1–1D
28 Mar@ Belgrano Cordoba0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Atletico DE Rafaela.

Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Quilmes or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Quilmes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.

How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.