Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico DE Rafaela travel to face Quilmes on Sunday 31 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martin Tucuman, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico DE Rafaela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.1 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 44%, draw 31%, Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.
Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Quilmes or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.70
Atletico DE Rafaela25%fair 4.02 · @3.75
1.73Expected goals
1.10Quilmes xG
0.64Atletico DE Rafaela xG
49%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–018%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.1 – 0.6 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Atletico DE Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Quilmes to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 6
DLDWWD
24 May
@ Agropecuario
0–0
D
17 May
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
5 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Midland
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6
LWDLDL
3 May
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Agropecuario
4–1
W
14 Apr
@ Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Club Atlético Güemes
1–2
L
30 Mar
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Atletico DE Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Quilmes or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Quilmes vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.