Atletico DE Rafaela v Defensores De Belgrano Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✗39% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Atletico DE Rafaela v Defensores De Belgrano in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. In the table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Defensores De Belgrano are 15th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Mitre, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Mar 2026) it ended Defensores De Belgrano 1–1 Atletico DE Rafaela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 xG, Defensores De Belgrano 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico DE Rafaela 39%, draw 28%, Defensores De Belgrano 34%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico DE Rafaela39%fair 2.57 · @2.60

Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.55

Defensores De Belgrano34%fair 2.98 · @3.10

1.70Expected goals

0.90Atletico DE Rafaela xG

0.80Defensores De Belgrano xG

47%Both score

26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%

1–016%

0–115%

1–113%

2–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 – 0.8 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico DE Rafaela to win ✗	39%	2.57	2.60
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.38	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.45
Draw no bet	Atletico DE Rafaela (draw no bet)	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Defensores De Belgrano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Atletico DE Rafaela to score first ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	54%	1.85	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	26%	3.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.10	–

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

WDWLLL

8 Aug	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
1 Aug	@ San Martin S.J.	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Nueva Chicago	1–0	W
18 Jul	@ Temperley	0–2	L
11 Jul	vs Deportivo Maipu	1–3	L
4 Jul	@ Almagro	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Defensores De Belgrano – last 6

LDDLWL

9 Aug	@ Atletico Mitre	1–2	L
1 Aug	vs CA Estudiantes	1–1	D
26 Jul	@ All Boys	0–0	D
12 Jul	@ Godoy Cruz	0–1	L
4 Jul	vs Deportivo Moron	2–1	W
21 Jun	vs All Boys	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Defensores De Belgrano 34%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atletico DE Rafaela v Defensores De Belgrano: numbers & prediction