Ferro Carril Oeste v Atlanta Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✓62% · @1.85

Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✓87% · @1.13

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.19

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Ferro Carril Oeste v Atlanta in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62.

Current form

Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Los Andes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Atlanta, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Temperley, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ferro Carril Oeste, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Atlanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.5 xG, Atlanta 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 62%, draw 25%, Atlanta 13%.
Lower-risk option: Ferro Carril Oeste or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Ferro Carril Oeste to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferro Carril Oeste62%fair 1.61 · @1.85

Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.95

Atlanta13%fair 7.64 · @4.40

2.08Expected goals

1.54Ferro Carril Oeste xG

0.54Atlanta xG

45%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–015%

0–013%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.5 – 0.5 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ferro Carril Oeste to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Ferro Carril Oeste or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.13
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	55%	1.81	1.45
Draw no bet	Ferro Carril Oeste (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Ferro Carril Oeste -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Ferro Carril Oeste to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste ✓	38%	2.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.19	–

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6

WLLWWW

9 Aug	@ Los Andes	2–1	W
1 Aug	vs Godoy Cruz	1–3	L
26 Jul	@ Deportivo Moron	0–4	L
17 Jul	vs Colon Santa Fe	2–0	W
11 Jul	@ San Miguel	1–0	W
5 Jul	vs San Telmo	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Atlanta – last 6

WLLWLL

9 Aug	vs Temperley	1–0	W
2 Aug	@ Deportivo Maipu	2–4	L
28 Jul	vs Almagro	1–3	L
14 Jul	vs Colegiales	1–0	W
4 Jul	@ Quilmes	1–2	L
20 Jun	@ Almagro	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?

On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlanta 13%.

How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?

Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Atlanta: numbers & prediction