Deportivo Moron v Almagro Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓63% · @1.65

Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓86% · @1.08

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.48

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Deportivo Moron vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Moron welcome Almagro to Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 15 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Moron, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Acassuso, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Almagro, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Quilmes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.6 xG, Almagro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 63%, draw 23%, Almagro 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Moron to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron63%fair 1.59 · @1.65

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.20

Almagro14%fair 7.18 · @5.60

2.20Expected goals

1.61Deportivo Moron xG

0.59Almagro xG

49%Both score

37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–014%

0–011%

1–111%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.6 – 0.6 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Moron to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.65
Double chance	Deportivo Moron or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.08
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.48
Draw no bet	Deportivo Moron (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Moron -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Deportivo Moron to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron ✓	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.62	–

Deportivo Moron – last 6

WLWDLL

9 Aug	vs Acassuso	4–1	W
2 Aug	@ Chaco For Ever	0–2	L
26 Jul	vs Ferro Carril Oeste	4–0	W
11 Jul	vs Deportivo Madryn	2–2	D
4 Jul	@ Defensores De Belgrano	1–2	L
21 Jun	@ Ferro Carril Oeste	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 6

DLDWLW

9 Aug	@ Quilmes	1–1	D
5 Aug	vs Gimnasia Y Tiro	0–2	L
1 Aug	vs Midland	1–1	D
28 Jul	@ Atlanta	3–1	W
12 Jul	@ San Martin Tucuman	0–3	L
4 Jul	vs Atletico DE Rafaela	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?

Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?

On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almagro 14%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?

Deportivo Moron vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Moron v Almagro: numbers & prediction