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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quilmes v San Telmo: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes

DWDLL
3–0
FT

San Telmo

LWLLL
Quilmes 62%Draw 25%San Telmo 13% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.53
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuilmes to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17

Quilmes vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Primera Nacional brings Quilmes against San Telmo at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Quilmes, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Almagro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

San Telmo, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended San Telmo 0–3 Quilmes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.5 xG, San Telmo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 62%, draw 25%, San Telmo 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quilmes62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
San Telmo13%fair 7.94 · @6.25
2.08Expected goals
1.55Quilmes xG
0.53San Telmo xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Quilmes 1.5 – 0.5 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuilmes to win ✓62%1.601.57
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓87%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.57
Draw no betQuilmes (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapQuilmes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreQuilmes to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quilmes / FT Quilmes ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.17–

Recent results

Quilmes – last 6

DWDLLW
9 Augvs Almagro1–1D
5 Augvs Gimnasia Jujuy2–0W
1 Aug@ Patronato3–3D
26 Julvs Colegiales0–1L
12 Jul@ Midland0–1L
4 Julvs Atlanta2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Telmo – last 6

LWLLLW
9 Aug@ Colon Santa Fe0–1L
2 Augvs San Miguel1–0W
26 Jul@ Racing Cordoba1–2L
11 Julvs Chaco For Ever1–3L
5 Jul@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–2L
20 Junvs Racing Cordoba2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026San Telmo v Quilmes0–3
Quilmes vs San Telmo head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Atletico DE Rafaela0 Defensores De Belgrano0 139%2.60X28%2.55234%3.10 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Agropecuario1 Ciudad de Bolívar0 156%1.85X26%2.95218%4.50 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Deportivo Moron2 Almagro0 163%1.65X23%3.20214%5.60 1.6–0.6xG 1Deportivo Moron to win 63%@1.65 ✓
FT Ferro Carril Oeste3 Atlanta1 162%1.85X25%2.95213%4.40 1.5–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.38 ✗
FT Atletico Mitre1 Club Atlético Güemes1 164%1.77X21%3.10215%4.60 1.7–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Colon Santa Fe3 Patronato0 159%1.65X24%3.20217%5.60 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.45 ✗
FT Godoy Cruz1 Deportivo Maipu2 161%1.70X25%3.10215%5.10 1.6–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✓
FT CA Estudiantes2 Chacarita Juniors0 158%1.83X26%2.85216%5.00 1.3–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quilmes vs San Telmo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Quilmes vs San Telmo?

On our numbers Quilmes have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Telmo 13%.

How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs San Telmo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs San Telmo?

Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Quilmes vs San Telmo?

Quilmes vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.