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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Mitre v Club Atlético Güemes: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Aurinegro
Atletico Mitre 64%Draw 21%Club Atlético Güemes 15% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.63
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Mitre to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Mitre to win ✗64% · @1.77
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93

Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Atletico Mitre v Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Aurinegro. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Mitre, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Defensores De Belgrano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Agropecuario, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Mitre, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Club Atlético Güemes.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Club Atlético Güemes 2–2 Atletico Mitre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 1.7 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 64%, draw 21%, Club Atlético Güemes 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Mitre to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Mitre64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.10
Club Atlético Güemes15%fair 6.71 · @4.60
2.29Expected goals
1.66Atletico Mitre xG
0.63Club Atlético Güemes xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.7 – 0.6 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Mitre to win ✗64%1.571.77 ▲
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.55
Draw no betAtletico Mitre (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapAtletico Mitre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreAtletico Mitre to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.93–

Recent results

Atletico Mitre – last 6

WWDWLD
9 Augvs Defensores De Belgrano2–1W
2 Aug@ Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
26 Julvs Almirante Brown0–0D
17 Julvs Racing Cordoba1–0W
11 Jul@ CA Estudiantes0–3L
5 Julvs All Boys1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Club Atlético Güemes – last 6

LLLLLL
8 Aug@ Agropecuario0–3L
3 Augvs Tristan Suarez1–3L
26 Jul@ Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
12 Julvs San Martin S.J.0–2L
4 Jul@ Nueva Chicago0–2L
21 Junvs Gimnasia Jujuy1–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Club Atlético Güemes v Atletico Mitre2–2
Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?

On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Atlético Güemes 15%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?

Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.