Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceChacarita Juniors or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.61
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chacarita Juniors welcome Patronato to Estadio de Chacarita Juniors for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 4 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Chacarita Juniors are 14th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colegiales, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Patronato, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Martin S.J., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Patronato, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Chacarita Juniors.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Patronato 2–0 Chacarita Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chacarita Juniors 1.4 xG, Patronato 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chacarita Juniors 60%, draw 27%, Patronato 13%.
Lower-risk option: Chacarita Juniors or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Chacarita Juniors to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chacarita Juniors or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chacarita Juniors60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Patronato13%fair 7.54 · @4.00
1.84Expected goals
1.37Chacarita Juniors xG
0.47Patronato xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 1.4 – 0.5 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato?
Our pick is Chacarita Juniors or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato?
On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Patronato 13%.
How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato?
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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