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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin S.J. v Almagro: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina
1–2
FT

Almagro

LLDLW
San Martin S.J. 60%Draw 21%Almagro 20% Expected goals 1.41 – 0.62
60%
Betarazi pick

San Martin S.J. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✗80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almagro travel to face San Martin S.J. on Sunday 4 October in the Primera Nacional – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin S.J. are 9th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42.

Current form

San Martin S.J., last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Patronato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Almagro, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nueva Chicago, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours San Martin S.J., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Almagro.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Almagro 1–2 San Martin S.J..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin S.J. 1.4 xG, Almagro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin S.J. 60%, draw 21%, Almagro 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Martin S.J. or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was San Martin S.J. to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin S.J.60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Almagro20%fair 5.09 · @5.50
2.03Expected goals
1.41San Martin S.J. xG
0.62Almagro xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–013%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.4 – 0.6 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗60%1.671.62
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✗80%1.241.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.55
Draw no betSan Martin S.J. (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapAlmagro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreSan Martin S.J. to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin S.J. / FT San Martin S.J. ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.39–

Recent results

San Martin S.J. – last 6

LWDLWW
27 Sep@ Patronato0–3L
20 Sepvs Colegiales2–0W
16 Sepvs Tristan Suarez0–0D
12 Sep@ Quilmes0–1L
6 Sepvs Midland3–2W
30 Aug@ Atlanta1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 6

LLDLWD
27 Sepvs Nueva Chicago0–1L
19 Sep@ Temperley1–3L
12 Sepvs Deportivo Maipu2–2D
6 Sepvs Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
30 Aug@ Patronato1–0W
22 Augvs Colegiales0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Almagro v San Martin S.J.1–2
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

Our pick is San Martin S.J. to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almagro 20%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.