Value bet: Almirante Brown to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.07
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: San Telmo v Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto. In the table, San Telmo are 12th, lower half, on 41 points after 36 matches; Almirante Brown are 6th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
San Telmo, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Mitre, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Almirante Brown, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Acassuso, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Telmo 0.8 xG, Almirante Brown 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Telmo 35%, draw 28%, Almirante Brown 37%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Almirante Brown to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Telmo 0–0 Almirante Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Telmo35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.50
Almirante Brown37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
1.61Expected goals
0.79San Telmo xG
0.82Almirante Brown xG
46%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
0–116%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: San Telmo 0.8 – 0.8 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almirante Brown to win✗
37%
2.69
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.57
Draw no bet
Almirante Brown (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
San Telmo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Almirante Brown to score first
41%
2.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.07
–
Recent results
San Telmo – last 6
WLWDLW
27 Sep
@ Atletico Mitre
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs CA Estudiantes
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ All Boys
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Los Andes
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
0–3
L
26 Aug
@ Acassuso
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almirante Brown – last 6
LLDDWW
27 Sep
vs Acassuso
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Chaco For Ever
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Deportivo Madryn
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Defensores De Belgrano
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Telmo and Almirante Brown.
What is the prediction for San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almirante Brown 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 0–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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