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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors 46%Draw 26%Deportivo Maipu 28% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.84
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 4.00 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.35

Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Maipu travel to face Chacarita Juniors on Saturday 17 October in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio de Chacarita Juniors the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Chacarita Juniors are 14th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52.

Current form

Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Almagro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Deportivo Maipu, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin S.J., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Maipu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Chacarita Juniors.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Maipu 3–2 Chacarita Juniors.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chacarita Juniors 1.2 xG, Deportivo Maipu 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chacarita Juniors 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maipu 28%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Maipu to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chacarita Juniors46%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Deportivo Maipu28%fair 3.51 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.16Chacarita Juniors xG
0.84Deportivo Maipu xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 1.2 – 0.8 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChacarita Juniors to win ✓46%2.202.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.55
Draw no betChacarita Juniors (draw no bet) ✓62%1.63–
Asian handicapDeportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreChacarita Juniors to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chacarita Juniors / FT Chacarita Juniors ✓25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.35–

Recent results

Chacarita Juniors – last 6

LWLWLL
10 Oct@ Almagro1–2L
4 Octvs Patronato1–0W
27 Sep@ Colegiales1–2L
20 Sepvs Quilmes3–0W
13 Sep@ Midland0–1L
5 Sepvs Atlanta0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Maipu – last 6

DWWDDD
11 Octvs San Martin S.J.1–1D
5 Oct@ Nueva Chicago1–0W
27 Sepvs Temperley1–0W
20 Sepvs Gimnasia Jujuy1–1D
12 Sep@ Almagro2–2D
6 Sepvs Patronato0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Deportivo Maipu v Chacarita Juniors3–2
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Maipu 28%.

How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.