Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.41
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta travel to face Gimnasia Y Tiro on Saturday 17 October in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio El Gigante del Norte the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62.
Current form
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gimnasia Jujuy, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Atlanta, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Martin Tucuman, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atlanta, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Atlanta 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 xG, Atlanta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%, draw 27%, Atlanta 36%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Atlanta to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62
Atlanta36%fair 2.76 · @3.25
2.02Expected goals
1.02Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
1.00Atlanta xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–014%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 – 1.0 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlanta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.