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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia Y Tiro v Atlanta: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio El Gigante del Norte
3–1
FT

Atlanta

WWWDW
Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%Draw 27%Atlanta 36% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.00
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.41

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlanta travel to face Gimnasia Y Tiro on Saturday 17 October in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio El Gigante del Norte the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62.

Current form

Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gimnasia Jujuy, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Atlanta, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Martin Tucuman, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atlanta, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Atlanta 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 xG, Atlanta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%, draw 27%, Atlanta 36%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Atlanta to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Y Tiro37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62
Atlanta36%fair 2.76 · @3.25
2.02Expected goals
1.02Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
1.00Atlanta xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
1–014%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 – 1.0 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓37%2.702.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.53
Draw no betGimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapAtlanta +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreGimnasia Y Tiro to score first44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.41–

Recent results

Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6

DLWLDW
11 Oct@ Gimnasia Jujuy2–2D
4 Oct@ San Martin Tucuman0–1L
27 Sepvs Atletico DE Rafaela1–0W
20 Sep@ Agropecuario0–1L
12 Sepvs Tristan Suarez0–0D
6 Sep@ Club Atlético Güemes3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlanta – last 6

WWWDWW
11 Octvs San Martin Tucuman1–0W
4 Oct@ Atletico DE Rafaela3–2W
27 Sepvs Agropecuario1–0W
21 Sep@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
12 Sepvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
5 Sep@ Chacarita Juniors1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Atlanta v Gimnasia Y Tiro1–1
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?

On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlanta 36%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.