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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nueva Chicago v Gimnasia Jujuy: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nueva Chicago
0–1
FT
Nueva Chicago 40%Draw 25%Gimnasia Jujuy 35% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.07
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Gimnasia Jujuy to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNueva Chicago to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.87

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Nueva Chicago v Gimnasia Jujuy in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Nueva Chicago. In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th (among the top four) with 58. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nueva Chicago, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Temperley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Gimnasia Jujuy, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gimnasia Y Tiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Gimnasia Jujuy 4–0 Nueva Chicago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 1.2 xG, Gimnasia Jujuy 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 40%, draw 25%, Gimnasia Jujuy 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Gimnasia Jujuy to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nueva Chicago40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Gimnasia Jujuy35%fair 2.84 · @3.40
2.24Expected goals
1.17Nueva Chicago xG
1.07Gimnasia Jujuy xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 1.2 – 1.1 Gimnasia Jujuy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNueva Chicago to win ✗40%2.522.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.05 ▲
Draw no betNueva Chicago (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapGimnasia Jujuy +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreNueva Chicago to score first ✗46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nueva Chicago / FT Nueva Chicago ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.87–

Recent results

Nueva Chicago – last 6

LLWDLW
11 Oct@ Temperley1–2L
5 Octvs Deportivo Maipu0–1L
27 Sep@ Almagro1–0W
21 Sepvs Patronato1–1D
12 Sep@ Colegiales0–1L
7 Sepvs Quilmes1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gimnasia Jujuy – last 6

DLDDWW
11 Octvs Gimnasia Y Tiro2–2D
3 Oct@ Temperley1–2L
28 Sepvs San Martin Tucuman2–2D
20 Sep@ Deportivo Maipu1–1D
13 Sepvs Atletico DE Rafaela2–1W
6 Sep@ Almagro2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Gimnasia Jujuy v Nueva Chicago4–0
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia Jujuy 35%.

How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.