Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.21
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tristan Suarez welcome Patronato to Estadio 20 de Octubre for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 17 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tristan Suarez, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Colegiales, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Patronato, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Patronato 1–1 Tristan Suarez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.2 xG, Patronato 0.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 58%, draw 27%, Patronato 14%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tristan Suarez to win (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tristan Suarez58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Patronato14%fair 7.10 · @5.50
1.64Expected goals
1.23Tristan Suarez xG
0.41Patronato xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–019%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.2 – 0.4 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?
Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Patronato 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Acassuso0
Deportivo Madryn0
Ferro Carril Oeste1
Racing Cordoba0
Los Andes1
All Boys1